Kebenaran harus ditegakkan. Penipuan dan fitnah mesti dihapuskan. Walau ribut datang melanda. biar taufan yang bergelora, mesti ditentang biarpun kita di anggap menongkah arus.
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Pulau Pinang - Do BN stand a chance to win in PRU13? Part 1
Below are the faces of Penang politic
Thats right no picture of Koh Tsu Koon. He is irrelevant as far as Penang voters are concern.
40 DUN seats and 12 MP seats are up for grab. PRU12 results are as follows :
Keputusan Pilihan Raya Umum Ke-12 : Pulau Pinang
Lets look at DUN first.
At a glance BN stand no chance to wrest Penang from Pakatan Rakyat. A minimum of 21 seats is required to form state government with simple majority.
If the same formula in 2008, i bet BN stand no chance whatsoever to win back Penang. Ini bukan saya cakap tapi ramai orang cakap dan saya setuju. DS Najib has got to listen.
IN 2008 UMNO contested in 15, Gerakan 13, MCA 10, MIC 2. Guna formula ni kita tak payah lawan penat sahaja.
But do BN have a choice? Gerakan and MCA contested in Chinese majority area anyway , or is that an assumption? We shall look into areas for any possibility if other than Gerakan/MCA yang bertanding boleh menang kah?
UMNO contested in 15 DUN seats and managed to win 11 seats. UMNO cuma tewas 2 kerusi di kawasan Ptg Pauh 1 kerusi di Sg Bakap dan 1 kerusi di Batu Maung.
If the same formula is use 15 seats for UMNO at best UMNO can win back 13 seats.. lets forget 2 DUN seat in Ptg Pauh, those Anwarista will never vote for BN. They will vote PAS for Ptg Pasir and PKR for Penanti.
Good chance to win back Sg Bakap as 2008 plenty of protest votes to kick out ex Timbalan Ketua Menteri Dato' Seri Rashid. Batu Maung will be back to UMNO as mood on the island now among the Malays are unkind toward PKR